Wednesday 26 January 2011

Ribadu on Power

Awareness
The plan demonstrates an appreciation for the importance of power production to the economy and life in general. It recognizes the simple problem that demand for electricity exceeds supply. There is also a detailed analysis of the issue at hand with ample technical information on the nature of power production and distribution.

Ambition
Diversifying the energy mix by introducing clean coal technology would put Nigeria at the cutting edge of technology in terms of power production but would require heavy investment and heavy mining in coal producing regions. The inclusion of alternative energy sources - biomass, solar and wind - is also very ambitious as they will require the installation of new infrastructure, training of personnel and may possibly face opposition from local communities. There is also the somewhat ambitious aim of making PHCN and the power industry in general more customer friendly.

Details
There is and implicit policy to reduce technical and non-technical loss of power, but this is not laid out in any detail. The plan as I can see it is to match supply to demand by increasing supply through lowering loss of power, introducing new types of power production and re-orientating PHCN to better serve customers. This will be coupled with an education programme to minimize demand.
Beyond this, there is little detail: how many coal power stations will be built and by when; how they will be funded; where wind, solar and biomass will be introduced and by when; whether it will publicly or privately funded/run and how much energy all this will produce are all questions that are left to be resolved.

My view
I think that Mr. Ribadu's plan for power sector rejuvenation is good in its intention. We needed to modernise 20 years ago, now we need to revolutionize. The focus of any energy plan now should be on new/green energy, however, a lot of the technology that the Mallam mentions isn't yet at maturity level. There are still question marks over he green credentials of clean coal and things like wind energy attract a lot of criticism for their unsightliness  and their lack of efficiency. I believe that in the nigerian context we should focus on solar energy and biomass ( to deal with the mountains of rubbish piling up all over the country). The plan doesn't address the planned privatization of power production, I would have liked for him to come out either in favour or against it.

Scores ( Out of 5)
Awareness: 4.5
Ambition: 4.5
Detail: 2.75
My View: 3.25

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